Labor wins election with Anthony Albanese to be returned as PM
Guardian Australia, the ABC, Sky Information, 9 and Seven have all referred to as the election for Labor.
Guardian Australia, the ABC, Sky Information, 9 and Seven have all referred to as the election for Labor.
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n It’s unclear how this may translate into seats given the rise within the variety of electorates which can be three-way contests, fairly than coming all the way down to a battle between Labor and the Coalition. Pollster Shaun Ratcliff instructed Guardian Australia that the newest polls present the Coalition “going backwards” in a collection of key seats he has been monitoring, after preliminary polls in February had the Coalition forward.
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You will discover extra granular breakdowns of the polls, together with by demography, on our monitoring web page.
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Somewhat further afield, Australians have already voted, Emily Wind reports:
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In the leadup to election day, Australians have cast their ballots in a number of remote locations and even from overseas – but none as far south as the 100-odd expeditioners currently working in Antarctica.
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Expeditioners working at Australia’s Antarctic and sub-Antarctic stations were able to cast their vote by telephone – a process typically reserved for voters who are blind or have low vision – with no physical ballot booth setup this year.
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Voting opened on 22 April, with expeditioners able to vote early or on election day. But, unlike others, they won’t be fined if they do not vote, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.
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The AEC says Australians travelling to work in Antarctica need to register as an Antarctic elector before leaving the country – with “Antarctic” including the Australian Antarctic Territory, the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands, Macquarie Island, and a ship at sea in transit to or from Antarctica.
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Arrangements were put in place for expeditioners on the RSV Nuyina in case it arrived back later than scheduled (on 2 May, the day before the election).
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It is just past 8am here in Sydney, and the polling booths are officially open!
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Voters can lodge their ballots between 8am to 6pm today.
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For a refresher on when, where and how to vote, here is our 2025 voting guide with everything you need to know.
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queue to vote in Australia’s basic election at a polling station within the suburb of Marrickville in Sydney on 3 Might, 2025.”,”caption”:”Folks queue to vote in Australia’s basic election at a polling station within the suburb of Marrickville in Sydney on 3 Might, 2025. “,”credit score”:”{Photograph}: Saeed Khan/AFP/Getty Photos”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”abstract”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1746223875000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”00.11 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1746225975000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”00.46 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1746224127000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”00.15 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”00.15″,”title”:”Polls open in jap states”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 3 Might 2025 12.52 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First printed on Sat 3 Might 2025 00.09 CEST”}],”filterKeyEvents”:false,”id”:”key-events-carousel-mobile”,”absoluteServerTimes”:false,”renderingTarget”:”Net”}”>
Key occasions
Henry Belot
Supporters at Greens HQ in Melbourne cheer ABC’s Dutton name
There’s not been a lot to cheer about for the Greens in Melbourne to this point, however there was an enormous cheer when the ABC referred to as Peter Dutton’s seat for Dickson. Adam Bandt will tackle the gang shortly.
Elias Visontay
Former Liberal minister Christopher Pyne mentioned the celebration wants to maneuver to the centre after right now’s election outcome.
If there’s one lesson the Liberal Celebration has to study out of tonight’s outcome, which is hardly an excellent one, is that we’ve got to keep in mind that we’re about transferring to the centre.
You tack to the centre to win elections and also you add votes collectively one group after one other till you get to a majority. And that’s why the Liberal Celebration has received many elections within the final 80 years. We’ve misplaced that sense of that’s what we’re presupposed to be doing, and we’re seeing the outcomes of that tonight.
Kevin Bonham
Round 25% counted and whereas the projected swings may effectively cool when pre-polls begin reporting in bigger numbers, in lots of seats the injury is already carried out.
The Coalition aren’t successful ALP seats in any numbers and look like already projecting too badly to avoid wasting Bonner, Dickson, Hughes, Leichhardt, Sturt, Bass and Braddon.
They’re additionally nonetheless in hassle in Banks, Deakin and now Menzies. On the plus aspect the Coalition is holding up higher towards independents than many fashions projected, and isn’t but dropping in regional seats like Calare and Cowper. (Bradfield is dicey; that’s the clearest danger at this stage, although Flinders can be attention-grabbing and the depend there’ll
most likely should be re-aligned).
The Greens are wanting aggressive in Wills however are at present not wanting an opportunity of pushing Josh Burns into third in Macnamara (he may effectively preserve his lead on primaries). In Richmond Labor’s place within the high two is just not but sure (given minor proper preferences will push up the Nationwide) so this can be one to observe in coming days, and in Bean the unbiased Jessie Worth is to this point not going away.
However Labor’s few seats in danger are random uncommon instances, none of that are but clearly misplaced. At this stage Labor is projecting for a outcome approach above what even essentially the most optimistic ultimate polls had however we should see if that holds up with extra counting.
Liberal senator James McGrath seems fairly shocked after the ABC’s simply referred to as the seat of Dickson for Labor.
McGrath takes a second to pause, and says slowly:
Let’s look ahead to the figures to come back in… the seat of Dickson is a troublesome seat as Antony Inexperienced mentioned, these are on the day figures, we want pre-poll figures.
Chalmers appears somewhat stunned, saying he thought Ali France’s likelihood was “50/50 at greatest”
He factors to nuclear as a problem which he thinks had an impression within the seat.
Ben Smee
Seven months after LNP got here to energy in Queensland, voters ship sudden swing to Labor
A fast phrase on the unpredictable approach Queenslanders spray their votes round.
Earlier than final October, Labor had received 11 of 12 state elections. In the identical interval, the Coalition outpolled Labor in any respect however two (1993 and 2007) federal polls.
And so, seven months after David Crisafulli’s LNP got here to energy in a landslide, in fact Queenslanders have delivered an sudden swing to Labor, together with in seats that weren’t even within the dialog this week.
Sources from each events say issues might be shut in Petrie, Bowman and Longman.
Labor seems to have received three Greens seats, together with two the place the frequent knowledge was that the LNP was the largest risk.
And Labor feels more and more assured in Bonner (the place widespread former councillor Kara Prepare dinner ran an under-the-radar marketing campaign), Leichhardt and, whisper it quietly, Dickson, held by the opposition chief, Peter Dutton.
The ABC’s Antony Inexperienced predicts Peter Dutton has misplaced his seat of Dickson.
Antony Inexperienced says Peter Dutton is “on observe” to lose his seat.
Almost 32% of the votes have been counted, and Inexperienced says there’s a 9.2% swing in the direction of Labor’s Ali France.
It’s France’s third try to win the seat.
Elias Visontay
Nationals senator Bridget Mckenzie says adverse sentiment in the direction of Donald Trump harmed the Coalition.
She instructed Channel 9:
I feel that the Trump issue has completely had a job within the election. It was weaponised by one aspect when, I feel, clearly, we made very clear that the nationwide curiosity, placing Australians first was how we had been going to strategy international affairs, together with our relationship with the US.
I feel the tariff of the uncertainty globally, not simply economically however strategically, notably in our area have all performed on folks’s minds”
She provides:
Little question, the election of President Trump and the curveballs he threw into the worldwide buying and selling market have had an impression right here at dwelling.
Dan Jervis-Bardy
Liberal MPs are getting ready for the worst as early election outcomes level to a really unhealthy night time for the Coalition and Peter Dutton.
With predictions Liberal candidates may win a handful of seats in Melbourne’s outer suburbs now wanting extraordinarily unlikely to be borne out, celebration members contacted by Guardian Australia say claims that inner campaigning polling was higher than printed opinion polls seem to have been bluster.
“Unhealthy, very unhealthy,” was the evaluation of 1 Liberal talking on the situation of anonymity.
Dutton’s place as opposition chief will come underneath severe strain if the opposition fails to win any seats from the federal government – and that’s if he by some means manages to carry onto his seat of Dickson.
“If we go backwards, there’s clearly going to be repercussions,” one frontbencher mentioned.
If we find yourself with much less seats than we began with, all these within the management must take a tough take a look at themselves.
A number of Liberal MPs contacted forward of Saturday’s outcome mentioned a internet achieve of 5 seats for the Coalition was the move mark for Dutton, with something lower than placing his future in jeopardy.
A senior celebration strategist concerned within the marketing campaign mentioned Dutton was impossible to outlive as opposition chief.
“That’s not taking place,” they mentioned.
With Tom McIlroy
Henry Belot
There’s been nearly no response to the information that Labor will type authorities – both in minority or majority – at Greens HQ in Melbourne.
It’s not wanting like a fantastic night time for the Greens, however this doesn’t seem to have filtered by to plenty of the celebration trustworthy right here. The ABC protection is turned down, the music has been blaring, and few persons are glued to the screens.
As Labor HQ in Sydney erupts into applause, Greens staffers are on stage in Melbourne telling the gang it door knocked near 95,000 houses in Macnamara. The staffers on stage addressing the gang haven’t talked about the decision for Labor in any respect.
Many of the chatter within the crowd right here is targeted on the end result in Dickson, Peter Dutton’s seat.
Elias Visontay
The finance minister, Katy Gallagher, on Channel 9, says Labor is now contemplating it has gained the Brisbane seat of Bonner from the LNP.
The vitality minister, Chris Bowen, additionally on the panel, mentioned indications from Labor scrutineers counting pre-poll in Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson are constructive.
From one pre-poll station, Bowen says:
Our major vote is up 4% and Peter Dutton is down 8% so we’re not but claiming Dickson, however we’re saying it’s a Labor lean.
Chalmers blames Angus Taylor for Liberals’ loss
Whereas the Liberal camp could be contemplating their future, Jim Chalmers says they need to be wanting cautiously at management contender Angus Taylor.
Liberal figures together with James Paterson and James McGrath appear to have backed Dutton, and McGrath mentioned simply moments in the past that Dutton may very well be chief “so long as he desires”.
However Chalmers was scathing of his shadow counterpart.
I don’t intend to bounce on Peter Dutton’s grave, however I feel the large lacking a part of the story we’re speaking about tonight is Angus Taylor. And so most of the points that the Liberal marketing campaign had, may be traced again to Angus.
Peter Dutton didn’t have an excellent marketing campaign, however the primary different, Angus Taylor, arguably had a marketing campaign which was at the very least as unhealthy, if not worse.
Sarah Basford Canales
It’s nonetheless very early days (or hours, maybe) however Labor’s place within the Hunter and Port Stephens areas is wanting robust. Solely 5% or 6% of the vote has really been counted however let’s take an preliminary look.
Within the Hunter, held by Labor MP Dan Repacholi, Labor seems to have scored nearly a 5% swing towards them, widening the margin between Labor and the Nationals candidate, Sue Gilroy.
Once more, we’ve bought to preface that there are nonetheless many votes to depend, nevertheless it’s a seat to observe for quite a few causes. For instance, Hunter has been held by Labor since 1910. It’s additionally the place the previous Liddell coal-fired energy station is positioned, which Peter Dutton has earmarked as a attainable future nuclear reactor web site.
Whereas Labor has elevated its major vote by just a few proportion factors to this point, the Nationals have gone backwards. As an alternative, the One Nation candidate, Stuart Bonds, has picked extra major votes than Gilroy.
Nearer to the coast is Paterson, Labor has additionally elevated its margin towards the Liberals for now. Each the Labor incumbent, Meryl Swanson, and the Liberals candidate, Laurence Antcliff, have suffered appreciable swings towards them on first desire votes with unbiased and native mayor, Philip Penfold, selecting up about 8% of the vote already.
Power has equally been some extent of debate within the seat, past price of dwelling challenges. In Paterson, there was a loud group pushing again towards offshore wind farms. We’d not get a outcome till a lot later tonight nevertheless it’s an attention-grabbing two seats to observe.
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