n It’s unclear how it will translate into seats given the rise within the variety of electorates which are three-way contests, slightly than coming right down to a battle between Labor and the Coalition. Pollster Shaun Ratcliff informed Guardian Australia that the newest polls present the Coalition “going backwards” in a choice of key seats he has been monitoring, after preliminary polls in February had the Coalition forward.
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You will discover extra granular breakdowns of the polls, together with by demography, on our monitoring web page.
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Somewhat further afield, Australians have already voted, Emily Wind reports:
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In the leadup to election day, Australians have cast their ballots in a number of remote locations and even from overseas – but none as far south as the 100-odd expeditioners currently working in Antarctica.
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Expeditioners working at Australia’s Antarctic and sub-Antarctic stations were able to cast their vote by telephone – a process typically reserved for voters who are blind or have low vision – with no physical ballot booth setup this year.
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Voting opened on 22 April, with expeditioners able to vote early or on election day. But, unlike others, they won’t be fined if they do not vote, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.
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The AEC says Australians travelling to work in Antarctica need to register as an Antarctic elector before leaving the country – with “Antarctic” including the Australian Antarctic Territory, the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands, Macquarie Island, and a ship at sea in transit to or from Antarctica.
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Arrangements were put in place for expeditioners on the RSV Nuyina in case it arrived back later than scheduled (on 2 May, the day before the election).
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It is just past 8am here in Sydney, and the polling booths are officially open!
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Voters can lodge their ballots between 8am to 6pm today.
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For a refresher on when, where and how to vote, here is our 2025 voting guide with everything you need to know.
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queue to vote in Australia’s basic election at a polling station within the suburb of Marrickville in Sydney on 3 Might, 2025.”,”caption”:”Folks queue to vote in Australia’s basic election at a polling station within the suburb of Marrickville in Sydney on 3 Might, 2025. “,”credit score”:”{Photograph}: Saeed Khan/AFP/Getty Photographs”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”abstract”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1746223875000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”00.11 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1746225975000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”00.46 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1746224127000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”00.15 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”00.15″,”title”:”Polls open in jap states”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 3 Might 2025 13.55 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First printed on Sat 3 Might 2025 00.09 CEST”}],”filterKeyEvents”:false,”id”:”key-events-carousel-mobile”,”absoluteServerTimes”:false,”renderingTarget”:”Internet”}”>
Key occasions
It looks as if Anthony Albanese and Anne Urquhart’s gamble has paid off, as a result of the ABC is asking the seat of Braddon for Labor.
The ABC says there’s been a 15% two get together swing to Labor within the seat, which was received on the final election by the Liberal get together on an 8% margin.
Antony Inexperienced says Labor candidate Rebecca White has retained the seat of Lyons for Labor, from retiring Labor MP Brian Mitchell.
It’s been an enormous night time, and a shocking one for a lot of.
There’s additionally been an enormous quantity of content material right here, so to wrap up the details of what we’ve seen tonight, right here’s the fabulous Matilda Boseley:
James McGrath warns in opposition to following Trump
The Liberals can have a full submit mortem within the coming days and weeks, however many within the get together have spoken tonight concerning the influence Donald Trump has had.
McGrath says it will be “harmful” for the Coalition to carry comparable positions to the Trump administration.
It could be harmful for my get together, and I communicate as Ronald Reagan Republican and a George Bush Republican, chatting with Donald Trump’s positions. we’re a free-trade get together and pro- Ukraine and we should always proceed to be centre-right.
We should resist that path deal with the place center Australia is.
McGrath is requested what the evaluation ought to take a look at, however he’s reluctant to say.
He says, “I’m hurting”, that it’s been a “bruising” outcome, and doesn’t need to make “advert hoc feedback” on what did and didn’t work in the course of the election.
It’s about ensuring conventional centre proper values, conventional conservative values enchantment to the trendy nation.
Luca Ittimani
Liberal frontbencher Michaelia Money has paid tribute to Peter Dutton after he spoke, conceding defeat on the federal election and in his personal seat of Dickson:
Money held out hope Dutton would maintain his seat of Dickson however mentioned his potential defeat was “an incredible loss”:
As you’ll anticipate from an incredible chief, that was an incredible speech. What I favored about Peter was there was no bitterness, no recrimination, however greater than that he appeared on the Australian folks, appeared on the Liberal Celebration and the individuals who voted for us particularly and mentioned, ‘I take full duty.’ That, to me, defines the management of Peter Dutton. That could be a true chief. And I believe it’s a nice loss for us.
Kevin Bonham
The earliest cubicles from Western Australia are beginning to are available in however this seems to be like being one other election the place the West arrives on the rely when the get together is already over. The early swings there are backwards and forwards and don’t counsel a whole lot of seats will change fingers there.
Nationwide Labor has already made many extra features than it has seats in danger and so the federal government is heading for a a lot elevated majority.
There are a couple of messy seats of curiosity, one being Calwell the place Labor’s Basem Abdo (changing Maria Vamvakinou) has a double digit swing in opposition to the get together on the first vote and former Hume Mayor Carly Moore might doubtlessly overtake the Liberal candidate and be a menace off (presently) 14.5% of the vote.
In Monash there’s an extended option to go to see whether or not unbiased Deb Leonard could make the ultimate two, by which case the Liberal main for Mary Aldred is low.
Benita Kolovos
Labor nabs seats in Melbourne’s jap suburbs
In Melbourne’s jap suburbs, it’s trying more and more seemingly Labor will maintain on to Aston and win the seats of Deakin and Menzies off the Liberals.
In Deakin, which was one of the marginal seats going into the race, Labor’s Matt Gregg is on monitor to nab the seat off the Coalition housing spokesperson, Michael Sukkar.
Over in Menzies, Labor’s Gabriel Ng can also be on monitor to take the seat from the Liberal MP Keith Wolahan.
Victorian Labor insiders are saying this can be a response to the Coalition’s election dedication to chop funding to the Suburban Rail Loop – one of many state Labor authorities’s flagship infrastructure tasks, which runs by way of the three electorates.
They assume the outcome ought to carry an finish to any speak of management strikes in opposition to the Victorian premier, Jacinta Allan. However on that entrance, it’s positively too early to say.
Josh Butler
As Dutton finishes his concession speech, Labor supporters at Albanese’s election night time occasion give him a salute – of kinds. Spontaneously within the crowd, a whole lot of individuals increase their arms and wave goodbye on the TV display screen as Dutton departs the stage, hugging his household.
One other cry of “Albo, Albo” goes up. We’re getting phrase that Albanese has arrived on the occasion, to talk momentarily.
Liberal get together will ‘rebuild’, Dutton says
Dutton ends his handle by saying the get together will rebuild and can stick with its values and beliefs.
He says the Labor get together was capable of outline the get together in the course of the marketing campaign.
Our Liberal household’s hurting throughout the nation tonight, together with in my citizens of Dickson, and I need to say thanks very a lot to all of them. I like this nation and have fought exhausting for it.
We’ve got been outlined by our opponents on this election, which isn’t a real story of who we’re, however we are going to rebuild from right here.
Dutton is standing along with his household on the stage, and hugs them as he ends his handle.
The group cheers exhausting for him and clap as he walks by way of.
The media attempt to cease him and ask some questions, however he continues straight previous.
Shifting to thank-yous, Dutton acknowledges the Nationals chief, David Littleproud, and deputy chief Sussan Ley. He additionally thanks his shadow treasurer, Angus Taylor, and “different senior members”.
It’s not our night time, as I level out, and there are good members and candidates who’ve misplaced their seats, their ambition, and I’m sorry for that.
He thanks his staff and employees, he says they’re “simply superb”. He additionally provides a shoutout to his media staff.
Getting emotional, he then thanks his household. Somebody from the crown shouts “I like you”.
I’m blessed to have an incredible household, Bec and Harry and Tom. They’ve stood by me by way of thick and skinny and I’m grateful for the assist and their love.
Dutton says Dickson had a “one-term curse”, however he held the seat for twenty-four years and thanks his constituents.
Dutton says Albanese must be ‘very pleased with what he’s achieved’
Dutton says he accepts duty for the loss, and has spoken to Anthony Albanese to want him congratulations.
Dutton says Albanese must be “very pleased with what he’s achieved”.
Dutton says he’s additionally spoken to the Labor candidate Ali France, who would be the new member for Dickson.
I congratulated the prime minister and wished he Jodie and Nathan all the perfect and I mentioned to the prime minister that his mom can be extremely pleased with his achievement tonight and he must be pleased with what he has achieved.
Ali and I’ve been combatants for a variety of elections however she was profitable in Dickson tonight, and she is going to do a very good job as an area member. She misplaced her son Henry in tragic circumstances, and no father or mother ought to ever undergo that. Equally I mentioned to Ali that her son Henry can be extremely pleased with her tonight and she is going to do a very good job because the native member for Dickson and I want her all the perfect.
Peter Dutton is addressing Liberal crowds in Brisbane, to concede defeat.
Not solely has the Coalition misplaced to Labor, Dutton seems to be set to lose his personal seat.
Dutton tries to stay optimistic.
We labored exhausting each day over the course of the final three years to do our greatest for our superb nation. One of many nice honours of being the chief of this get together is that we’ve got met folks from each aspect and each nook, the size and breadth of this nation, and there are numerous superb tales, folks have sacrificed and the people who find themselves doing it exhausting in the intervening time, and I’ve at all times needed, in public life, for our nation and one of the best for each Australian.
Dutton says the spotlight of his profession has been as defence minister.
Nick Evershed
Nationwide swing to Labor is 4.7%, stay votes tracker reveals
The nationwide swing to Labor is presently 4.7%, which is giant by way of nationwide swings. Nonetheless, in some seats the swing is very large – this chart reveals the 20 greatest (excluding WA seats with early counts), from Braddon which has a 15.4% swing to Anne Urquhart, to Fadden in Queensland, which has a 8.75% swing to Labor.
You’ll be able to see extra swing figures within the swing-o-metre on our outcomes web page right here.
Henry Belot
Bandt says many Labor MPs could win Greens seats on Liberal preferences
The Greens chief, Adam Bandt, has congratulated Anthony Albanese and Labor on its marketing campaign.
He says it’s too early to name most of the seats the place the Greens vote seems to have gone backwards.
To date, he’s not claiming victory in Wills or conceding defeat in Macnamara. There has additionally been no reference to Queensland seats which have been known as as an ALP achieve. However he has acknowledged the outcomes could also be unhealthy:
We additionally know there are a variety of seats which are too near name and could also be too near name tonight.
One of many issues that will occur … is a few Labor MPs could get elected on Liberal preferences. We’ll watch with curiosity and see whether or not that occurs within the coming hours.
Luca Ittimani
Anthony Albanese has left Kirribilli Home and is driving to Labor’s election night time get together. The prime ministerial automobile, C1, has pulled out of the driveway previous law enforcement officials, reporters and a handful of cheering neighbours with their canine.
Albanese and his fiancee, Jodie Haydon, gave a wave to Channel Seven’s reporter on the scene as they started their journey south-west to Canterbury-Hurlstone Park RSL Membership within the prime minister’s citizens of Grayndler.
Henry Belot
Adam Bandt says Labor win a repudiation of ‘Trump-style politics’
The Greens chief, Adam Bandt, is claiming credit score for Labor beating Peter Dutton in Dickson.
One factor is obvious, we’ve got stored Dutton out. We mentioned very clearly we don’t want Trump-style politics coming to Australia and Peter Dutton misplaced his seat.
