There may be a number of uncertainty in polling. Regardless of the person polls outcomes, Labor has but to point out a transparent lead in Guardian Australia’s modelling. The mannequin averages the polls over the time they’re within the discipline and elements in pattern sizes, earlier outcomes and the “home results” (bias in direction of a celebration) of every pollster.
“,”elementId”:”b0e5d729-7555-41e0-8114-6fce1770c8f5″}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”abstract”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1743709812000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”21.50 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1743711001000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.10 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1743710135000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”21.55 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”21.55″,”title”:”YouGov ballot says Dutton’s approval lowest since changing into opposition chief”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Elias Visontay”,”imageUrl”:” 4 Apr 2025 08.35 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 3 Apr 2025 21.49 CEST”},{“id”:”67eee5c38f08f7ab2f00cff7″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Good morning and welcome to our live news blog. I’m Martin Farrer with the best overnight stories and then Krishani Dhanji will be your guide.
Stock markets in Europe and the US have seen heavy losses after yesterday’s announcement by Donald Trump of tariffs on US trading partners. Anthony Albanese’s government is still considering its response but has unveiled $1bn in loans to help Australian exporters after the tariff hit. We have more coming up.
The US president’s economic warfare has made him politically toxic with Australian voters. Although the situation is fraught with difficulties for Albanese – will it crash our economy? – there could be political benefits because Peter Dutton has in the past tried to align himself with Trumpist themes such as being “strong” on defence and immigration. Our political writers have their analysis, and in the blog in a minute we’ll look at a new poll showing that Dutton is losing popularity with voters.
Effectively, this has been a completely large week – and we’re solely on day eight of the election marketing campaign. Right here’s all the primary takeaways from what went down as we speak:
Anthony Albanese wrapped up the primary week of election campaigning with a cease in his residence metropolis of Sydney.
He spoke at a Every day Telegraph-hosted occasion in western Sydney, committing to increase the $20,000 prompt asset write-off for small companies and tradies for one more 12 months.
Peter Dutton, additionally in western Sydney, made a $231m roads funding announcement on the identical occasion.
The opposition chief’s reputation with voters has plummeted, in accordance with the newest YouGov ballot, together with his approval ranking at its lowest since taking over the Coalition’s high job. Albanese solidified his lead as most popular PM, main 45% to 38%.
Dutton denied experiences his relationship with mining magnate Gina Rinehart is cooling, saying WA mining makes an “monumental contribution” to Australia.
The commerce minister, Don Farrell, stated the federal government would use crucial minerals as a negotiating tactic with the US over tariffs.
ANZ joined the opposite three main banks in predicting an rate of interest minimize in Could.
Voting tendencies amongst Gen Zers within the western world level to younger males favouring extra rightwing events whereas younger ladies are leaning extra to the left.
Chris Bowen and Ted O’Brien are scheduled to debate one another subsequent Thursday.
Former One Nation chief Mark Latham’s homophobic tweet about political rival Alex Greenwich might greater than triple after he was ordered to pay the unbiased Sydney MP’s authorized prices.
Former Howard authorities MP Petro Georgiou has died on the age of 77.
Get pleasure from your weekend, and take care.
Head of Salmon Tasmania steps down after lower than two years
The top of Salmon Tasmania, Luke Martin, has stepped down after lower than two years within the job, the Mercury experiences. It says the previous division of major industries secretary Dr John Whittington will substitute him.
Martin took on the position in Could 2023, changing Sue Grau, who lasted lower than 18 months within the job. The Salmon Tasmania chair, Lyall Howard, stated in an announcement:
Luke has been an excellent advocate for our trade over the previous two-years. He has led our trade with ardour, talent and willpower while navigating the difficult circumstances with Macquarie Harbour. With out him, the west coast neighborhood can be going through an unsure future.
Luke will go away Salmon Tasmania with the respect and thanks of our trade from the very highest ranges of our firms to the hundreds of salmon employees and their households throughout the State.
Former MP Petro Georgiou has died aged 77
Benita Kolovos
The previous Howard authorities MP Petro Georgiou has died on the age of 77, his household has confirmed.
Georgiou spent 16 years representing the seat of Kooyong in federal parliament, the place he was an advocate for immigrants and refugees, and beforehand suggested the previous prime minister Malcolm Fraser, directed the Victorian Liberal occasion department and helped set up SBS.
Georgiou’s successor within the seat, Josh Frydenberg, stated the previous MP was “extensively revered for his integrity, intelligence and dedication to the local people”.
Petro was a small ‘l’ Liberal who had a huge impact.
Petro Georgiou was the Liberal MP for Kooyong for 16 years. {Photograph}: AAP
The Victorian Liberal chief, Brad Battin, known as Georgiou a “principled advocate for human rights and a tremendously revered determine within the historical past of our occasion”.
I recognise and have fun the essential legacy he leaves behind – notably his robust voice in debates on multiculturalism, refugees and civil liberties, and his dedication to making sure the Liberal occasion remained a broad church.
Georgiou is survived by his companion, Roxanne, and his two kids, Dino and Alexia.
The election marketing campaign up to now, with Krishani Dhanji
We’ve simply wrapped the primary full week of the election marketing campaign. So what’s occurred? Some assembly with infants, a number of hi-vis vests and, in fact, over it all of the looming spectre of Donald Trump’s tariffs on seemingly the complete world.
Guardian Australia’s Krishani Dhanji brings you in control on what’s occurred within the election up to now:
Hello-vis vests, assembly infants and Trump’s tariffs – TLDR: Election 2025 with Krishani Dhanji – video
Former Liberal MP weighs in on Dutton’s feedback about ideology in faculties
The previous Liberal MP Jason Falinski has weighed in on Peter Dutton’s rhetoric about ideology within the schooling system, and the way this may occasionally influence the Liberals’ makes an attempt to regain teal seats.
Falinski is the previous MP for Mackellar, which is now held by the unbiased Sophie Scamps.
Talking on the ABC’s Afternoon Briefing this afternoon, Falinski urged ideology in faculties wasn’t on the entrance of individuals’s minds in teal seats:
In higher center class, extremely educated socio-demographics, these kinds of messages aren’t a lot not resonating, however not on the high of individuals’s minds – particularly in NSW – so they’re messages directed to different demographics and communities in Australia.
Do these feedback trigger injury? Falinski stated they didn’t, and argued:
In case your sense of the scenario is the schooling system in your a part of the world is working effectively, what you’ll have a tendency to seek out is folks will ignore these sorts of messages. However if you’re in different components of the nation the place individuals are apprehensive about extra time spent on ideology than schooling per se, they’re messages that can resonate fairly effectively with you.
He argued that in all teal seats, mother and father are “opting out” of public schooling and selecting to place their kids in personal schooling.
Peter Lewis on voting variations between gen Z men and women
Peter Lewis, an government director of analysis firm Important, spoke with the ABC’s Afternoon Briefing simply earlier to replicate on the election marketing campaign up to now – we’re solely on day eight, imagine it or not.
He spoke concerning the voting tendencies obvious with gen Z, saying younger ladies had been shifting extra to the left and younger males to the correct:
The ladies are shifting progressive – more likely to vote Inexperienced, need motion on local weather and disapprove of Donald Trump. The lads are a completely completely different story altogether … [They] had been by far probably the most supportive of what Donald Trump is doing – like, it was off the charts, much more so than boomers – and extra prone to help Peter Dutton …
[There’s] a world phenomenon round younger males which isn’t your regular political story, and it’s one to look at because the election will get nearer.
Lewis stated the gender divide “cleaved within the late phases of the [Scott] Morrison authorities” however, even then, the variations weren’t as robust and there was an thought youthful generations had been extra progressive.
Benita Kolovos has additionally seemed into this obvious distinction between younger men and women’s voting patterns and values – you may have a learn beneath:
Natasha Could
NSW docs to strike for 3 days after ‘18 months of failed negotiations’
In an announcement launched after this morning’s listening to, Asmof’s government director, Andrew Holland, stated:
Asmof has decided that it’ll proceed with the deliberate industrial motion from 8 to 10 April. Medical doctors have been left with little alternative. After 18 months of failed negotiations, our members are placing as a result of they really feel they haven’t any different approach to be heard.
Proper now, docs throughout NSW are working dangerously lengthy hours in severely understaffed hospitals. The result’s a workforce that’s exhausted and burning out, and affected person care is being put in danger.
Now we have spent 18 months in good religion making an attempt to repair this by way of negotiation. The [Chris] Minns authorities walked away from the desk. In the event that they received’t come again and put ahead real options, there shall be no progress, and this disaster will proceed to escalate.
This strike motion will go forward as deliberate throughout NSW hospitals. Will probably be carried out in a protected and accountable method. Emergency departments and demanding care models will stay safely staffed, and affected person security won’t be compromised.
Natasha Could
Medical doctors union to supply all communications relating to strike plans to NSW Well being earlier than 2pm
In a second pressing listening to held at 11.20am, the Industrial Relations Fee sought to make clear the matter of what paperwork Asmof was required to supply NSW Well being by the use of informing the federal government of its strike plans.
Dan Fuller, the barrister representing NSW Well being, stated Asmof’s overlaying letter urged it knew about potential additional industrial motion that it was “not in a position to talk to us”.
Fuller stated the path given by the IRC to supply NSW Well being the strike plans ought to seize emails despatched by Asmof members informing the union of various native well being districts’ plans and file notes of plans mentioned in conferences.
Fuller stated there have been inconsistencies within the strike plans Asmof had offered. For instance, they don’t say something about strikes in Westmead’s emergency division however NSW Well being was conscious there have been vital numbers of docs planning to strike from that division.
Fuller stated it was doable maybe members had not but communicated their plans to Asmof, however he believed “there are paperwork that exist that haven’t been offered to us”.
Asmof’s government director, Andrew Holland, stated he agreed Amsof can present the type of paperwork Fuller talked about, however stated there was a robust chance the paperwork NSW Well being thinks exist don’t.
Holland stated it was not the case that the union was conscious of additional strike motion which it was not telling NSW Well being about, however slightly a case that “there could also be different types of motion”. Holland stated the problem was with the union getting suggestions from “the stragglers” and it might make a dedication it could present that “as quickly as it’s made out there to us”.
Performing Justice Peter Kite gave instructions that Asmof ought to earlier than 2pm as we speak present to the well being secretary all copies of paperwork recording strike motion that can or could also be taken subsequent week, in addition to when that motion will happen and over what interval.
Natasha Could
Psychiatrists’ arbitration delayed till subsequent Friday
The Industrial Relations Fee is delaying listening to the psychiatrists’ dispute with NSW Well being whereas the docs’ union representing psychiatrists is defying their orders and going forward with a three-day strike for all members subsequent week.
The knowledgeable proof was meant to be heard within the IRC’s courtroom in Sydney as we speak within the matter between NSW Well being and the Australian Salaried Medical Officers (Asmof), which is in search of a particular levy to extend workers psychiatrists’ pay by 25% to stem the move of specialist docs leaving the general public system.
Nevertheless, that listening to has been delayed till subsequent week because of the union defying the IRC’s orders in a separate matter arbitrating the pay of all docs throughout the state. On Tuesday when the events couldn’t agree on a last pay provide, the fee ordered Asmof to chorus from industrial motion, however the union is continuing with its strike plans.
In a listening to at 10am this morning, Justice David Chin summarised the fee’s orders made yesterday that for the psychiatrists’ listening to to proceed as we speak, Asmof was supposed to supply an affidavit that they’ll adjust to the orders the IRC made that the union wouldn’t go forward with a basic strike.
The union’s barrister, Thomas Dixon, confirmed Asmof had offered no such affidavit.
Chin stated the psychiatrists’ matter can be listed for instructions subsequent Friday 11 April (the day after Asmof’s industrial motion ends) and that each events ought to point out the provision of their knowledgeable witnesses.
Dan Fuller, the barrister representing NSW Well being, stated Asmof has not offered it with the ultimate copies of strike plans as that they had been directed to do yesterday.
Luca Ittimani
Tips on how to defend your superannuation retirement financial savings
Hackers have focused Australian superannuation funds this week, compromising some members’ knowledge, in accordance with the funds. However how do you defend your hard-earned retirement financial savings if you’re a member?
AustralianSuper beneficial members log in to their account and alter their password to a robust, distinctive code not used on different web sites.
Some funds enable members to arrange multi-factor authentication on high of a password, although not all funds provide this safety possibility.
After altering their password, members had been additionally inspired to examine their checking account and speak to particulars had been right and overview their transactions or switch requests.
If any clients observed any particulars had been modified or uncommon transactions, they need to get in contact with their fund instantly, the federal government web site Moneysmart suggested.
Login pages for a lot of tremendous funds remained purposeful this afternoon, although some AustralianSuper members reported being unable to log in to their accounts.
Affected members might report suspected cybercrimes and search round-the clock help at www.cyber.gov.au/report or on 1300CYBER1 from Australian cybersecurity centre advisers.
Members must also present their fund up-to-date cellphone, e-mail and postal contact particulars to make sure their fund can contact them rapidly within the occasion of any suspicious exercise.
Dutton scotches rumours he ‘disenchanted’ Rinehart with Coalition fuel plan
We introduced you the information earlier that Peter Dutton shrugged off rumours he “disenchanted” Gina Rinehart together with his Coalition fuel plans. Now you can learn the total story right here:
Seashores a lot cleaner as litterbugs get the message
In some non-political information this afternoon, coastal litter on Australia’s seashores is down by greater than one-third in a decade.
A 16% bounce in areas fully free from plastic waste has additionally been recorded, AAP experiences.
A CSIRO research surveyed inland, riverine and coastal habitats throughout six city areas, recording decrease ranges of plastic air pollution in Newcastle, Perth and the Sunshine Coast. Hobart and Port Augusta recorded extra litter than earlier than, nonetheless.
The CSIRO senior analysis scientist Denise Hardesty was heartened by an general 39% discount in plastic waste throughout Australia’s metropolitan coastlines:
Though there are nonetheless areas for concern, it’s thrilling to see a big lower in plastic air pollution as folks across the nation have gotten extra conscious of the dangerous results of plastic waste on folks, communities and wildlife.
Meals packaging and different plastics stay probably the most prevalent supply of garbage on seashores, and versatile plastics are notably harmful for wildlife.
Homophobic tweet to value Latham greater than $500,000
Jordyn Beazley
The price of former One Nation chief Mark Latham’s homophobic tweet about political rival Alex Greenwich might greater than triple after he was ordered to pay the unbiased Sydney MP’s authorized prices.
The federal courtroom justice David O’Callaghan as we speak ordered Latham to pay prices after Greenwich received his defamation case towards Latham in September.
Greenwich was then awarded $140,000 in damages, and can now have his authorized prices coated on a party-party foundation, which usually covers about 70% of the charges incurred. Greenwich’s prices are estimated to be $600,000.
Latham posted a tweet that explicitly described a intercourse act throughout the 2023 state election, and a courtroom later discovered it uncovered Greenwich, who’s homosexual and a outstanding LGBTQ+ neighborhood advocate, to a torrent of hateful abuse together with demise threats.
Latham posted it in response to Greenwich describing Mr Latham as a “disgusting human being”.
Latham’s lawyer had argued the previous One Nation MP ought to solely must pay 1 / 4 of Greenwich’s prices.
Impartial candidate continues tilt for seat regardless of part 44 eligibility query
An unbiased candidate for the seat of Fremantle says she’s going to go forward along with her tilt for the seat, despite the fact that she has up to now been unable to surrender her twin British citizenship.
Talking on her every day marketing campaign podcast, Kate Hulett stated she wasn’t going to let “some foolish paperwork nonsense” cease her, after making a number of makes an attempt to surrender her twin citizenship forward of the deadline.
She was born in Armadale and has two passports after being placed on her mum’s passport as a child. Twin residents can not sit in parliament. Hulett stated:
As quickly as I realised what this meant for my marketing campaign I raced residence, accomplished the applying to surrender it, paid the exorbitant payment and assumed that will be that. Then the e-mail from the House Workplace got here again saying that it might take as much as six months to obtain official affirmation.
Hulett stated she has spoken to constitutional attorneys in Australia and the UK, written to UK MPs, spoken to the British Excessive Fee in Canberra and known as the House Workplace within the UK “I don’t know what number of occasions”.
I’ve taken each step I can to surrender my British citizenship earlier than nominations shut … So many individuals in my voters got here right here from abroad or have household ties in different international locations, and it’s absurd that it might probably cease them getting concerned within the democratic course of … I don’t anticipate that some foolish paperwork nonsense goes to cease me attending to election day and completely nailing the transient.
Bowen and O’Brien to debate one another subsequent week
The local weather change and vitality minister, Chris Bowen, and shadow local weather and vitality minister, Ted O’Brien, are scheduled to debate one another subsequent week.
The talk shall be held on the Nationwide Gallery of Australia in Gandel Corridor subsequent Thursday, Guardian Australia has confirmed.
Mislabelled shipments led to Trump tariffs on uninhabited islands with no US commerce
Commerce tariffs imposed on tiny Australian territories which can be both uninhabited or declare to haven’t any buying and selling relationship with the US seem to have been calculated primarily based on faulty commerce knowledge.
The info relates, no less than partly, to shipments mislabelled as coming from distant Norfolk Island, or Heard Island and McDonald Islands, as an alternative of their right international locations of origin, the Guardian can reveal.
You may learn the total story from Kate Lyons and Nick Evershed beneath:
Albanese needs he might ‘go to the pub with my mates, with out anybody else’
Simply circling again to Anthony Albanese’s earlier press convention in Blacktown, the place he had a humorous alternate with one of many reporters over whether or not or not he feels “straitjacketed” in his job as prime minister.
The journalist requested:
Simply earlier than, once you had been on stage, there was a little bit of a grizzle the place you had been requested if you happen to had been going to the footy and stated, “I’m not allowed to have enjoyable on this job.” Critical query – do you are feeling straitjacketed on this job?
Albanese responded with fun:
Look, I want I might go to the pub with my mates, with out anybody else – or any of you.
The journalist joked:
We’re not your mates?
The PM continued, and stated:
No, with out safety with a few of you as effectively! There are folks right here who I’ve had actually good engagement with. It’s a unique dynamic. Considered one of them is laughing proper right here. , we are able to catch up and stuff. There are restrictions within the job however that’s a part of the deal. That’s a part of the association and it’s an unimaginable privilege that I’ve.
Emily Wind right here, I’ll be staying with you on the weblog for the remainder of the afternoon.
3.7 magnitude earthquake felt in Albury
Emily Wind
A magnitude 3.7 earthquake has struck close to Albury, within the border area of Victoria and NSW.
In response to Geoscience Australia, it occurred round 12.30pm this afternoon at a depth of 5.09 km, between Albury and Holbrook.
The closest city to the place the earthquake occurred seems to be Mullengandra.
