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Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models, tracker, path

Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models, tracker, path

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Tropical Storm Erin is beginning to strengthen.
Erin is expected to become a hurricane Friday, Aug. 15.
The current forecast predicts Erin will become a very strong Category 3 storm, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph within five days.
While Erin currently is forecast to stay away from Florida, now is the time to prepare for a storm.

Tropical Storm Erin is beginning to strengthen and is expected to become a hurricane by Friday afternoon and a major hurricane by Sunday morning, Aug. 17, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

The current forecast predicts Erin will become a very strong Category 3 storm, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph within five days.

A major hurricane is one that’s a Category 3 or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph.

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While Erin is predicted to curve north before reaching Florida and the United States, impacts along the coast are possible, especially dangerous surf and rip currents.

Officials are encouraging residents to monitor the storm closely and to make sure they’re prepared.

➤ Don’t have a hurricane supply kit? From the basics to the extras, here’s what you need

Where is Tropical Storm Erin going?

Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time.

Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models

Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.

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Tropical Storm Erin storm tracker, path

Satellite view of Tropical Storm Erin

Track all active Atlantic storms and disturbances

What should you do now to prepare for hurricane season?

Officials regularly encourage Florida residents to prepare for storms before a hurricane is approaching while shelves are full stocked and you aren’t battling crowds all rushing to the store at the same time.

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“It only takes one storm to make it an impactful year for your community,” the National Hurricane Center Miami posted on X. “Hurricane season is a marathon, not a sprint.”

On Aug. 1, specific hurricane supplies became permanently tax free in Florida, ranging from batteries to generators.

➤ See list of emergency supplies you can now buy tax free

Florida weather radar for Aug. 14, 2025

Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.

The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories.