By Mark Stone, US correspondent in Washington
Donald Trump’s night announcement got here after a weekend by which the query was “he would not really try this, would he?”
However given his actions over the previous 43 days, his rhetoric in the course of the marketing campaign, and his really transactional negotiating fashion, the reply was all the time to be “in fact he would”.
It nonetheless doesn’t make the transfer any much less dramatic.
As late as yesterday afternoon, within the White Home, Trump claimed he hadn’t mentioned the prospect of reducing or pausing American navy weapons shipments to Ukraine.
However it was clear his anger and animosity in opposition to Zelenskyy after the Friday showdown was rising.
And simply an hour or two later, after a gathering along with his defence and safety officers (who’re all wholly aligned to his pondering, not like these in his first administration) he had paused all navy help.
Sources each side of the Atlantic have informed me that is simply the newest step in his recreation of brinkmanship. The White Home emphasis on “pause” is necessary and hints on the strikes they anticipate Zelenskyy now to make.
Trump is set to strain Zelenskyy to signal his minerals deal – step one in his peace plan which he finally expects will culminate in Ukraine and Russia spherical a negotiating desk. He has not defined fairly how this occurs or what concessions Vladimir Putin is likely to be requested to make.
Within the instant time period, Trump needs to have the ability to hail the mineral deal as an enormous win for the American individuals as a fabric return for the cash they despatched to fund Ukraine’s struggle and step one to peace in Ukraine. A lot of that is a couple of home trumpeting of his successes as he sees them. He had hoped to do this tonight at his deal with to a joint session of Congress.
Zelenskyy is resisting not as a result of he does not need peace however as a result of he needs American commitments that it has his again militarily if he’s to enter into peace talks with an unreliable Putin, which would require him to make concessions.
He needs American safety ensures. All of Europe needs these, whereas committing to spending extra on defence themselves. They’re alarmed that Trump will not give them but.
Each European chief was privately appalled by Trump’s remedy of Zelenskyy final Friday. However some European diplomats have informed me they assume Zelenskyy took the bait when he might have reacted in a different way.
Zelenskyy’s buddies in Europe might now be quietly telling him to shift place, mend the rift with Trump, signal his deal, decide to a ceasefire after which work, with them, to push Trump on the safety ensures.
In Trump’s brutally transactional world the place, prefer it or not, he holds the playing cards, it could be the one means.